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Fitch
Changes Outlook on ACCs NCD Programme to Positive; Affirms
Ratings
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INR3bn
Non-Convertible Debenture Programme
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AA+(ind)/
Positive
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INR1,500m
Commercial Paper/Short Term Debt Programme
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F1+(ind)
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Issuer
Rating
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AA+(ind)
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Fitch
Ratings-Mumbai/London30 January 2006: Fitch Ratings has today
changed the Outlook on the Non-Convertible Debenture (NCD)
programme of The Associated Cement Companies Limited (ACC)
to Positive from Stable. At the same time the agency has affirmed the
National rating for the NCD programme at AA+(ind) and the
F1+(ind) National rating for ACCs INR1,500 million
Commercial Paper/Short Term Debt programme. Fitch has also affirmed
ACCs issuer rating at AA+(ind).
The revision
of the Outlook to Positive reflects the improving financial profile
of ACC, increasing involvement of Holcim Limited (Long Term Senior
Unsecured foreign currency rating of BBB+) and limited
debt led capex plans. Fitch notes that Holcim - through Ambuja Cement
India Limited - has become the largest shareholder in ACC and enjoys
management control despite being short of a majority shareholding.
Fitch expects the benefits of Holcims experience in use of
alternate fuel strategies to accrue to ACC in the short to medium
term, providing greater stability to margins and cash flows. The
strong likelihood of conversion of the outstanding balance of foreign
currency convertible bonds (FCCBs) to equity (79% having
already been converted) is expected to further improve its financial
flexibility. Coupled with its association with Holcim, this would
allow ACC to capitalize on the opportunities likely to be available
due to the fragmented nature of the Indian cement industry. This, in
Fitchs opinion, would strengthen ACCs position in the
market.
Key concerns
primarily emanate from the cyclicality of the industry, increasing
raw material and fuel costs, threat of increased production of
blended cement distorting demand, supply dynamics and the exchange
rate risk on ACCs residual foreign currency borrowings. The
companys present capital expenditure plans are estimated to be
financed primarily from internal generations, limiting impact on debt
protection measures.
Holcim is
the world's second largest cement manufacturer after Lafarge SA and
also a world leader in aggregates and concrete, with sales of more
than EUR8.6bn and over 150 million tons of cement capacity at fiscal
year-end 2004. These strong positions are supported by superior
geographical diversification with a high penetration in Latin
America, which offer higher EBITDA margins and more dynamic growth
than mature markets, and increased presence in high growth countries
of Central/Eastern Europe, Asia and India. Such an extensive and
unmatched global reach has been a key feature of the company's well
executed strategy of the past decades and has helped mitigate
cyclicality in recent years. This is evidenced by consistently strong
operating performance and above sector average EBITDA margins during
the past five years (fiscal 2004: 27.2%). Holcims investment in
ACC is of strategic importance to its overall growth strategy. With a
global presence in 70 countries, Holcim enjoys long standing
relationships with local partners and aims to ultimately own a
majority stake if there are conflicts of interest with minority
shareholders.
ACC is one
of the largest cement producers in India with overall capacity of
18.3mtpa. Cement contributed approximately 88% to net sales in FY05
(April-December 2005), the balance being contributed by Ready Mix
Concrete (RMC), refractory and consultancy service. ACC has decided
to change its financial year to January-December and consequently the
last financial year was for a period of nine months, i.e April 1,
2005 to December 2005. In line with Holcims global product mix,
ACC hived off its refractory business, sold off its equity holding in
Everest Industries and merged its cement subsidiaries during FY05. At
FYE05, ACC reported net sales of INR32,034m (INR27,887m in the
corresponding period last year) on which it earned a net profit of
INR5,441m (INR2,128m in the corresponding period last year)
benefiting from extraordinary gain on sale of assets/equity and
improvement in cement volumes and prices during the period.
Note to
editors: Fitchs National ratings provide a relative measure of
creditworthiness for rated entities in countries with relatively low
international sovereign ratings and where there is demand for such
ratings. The best risk within a country is rated AAA and
other credits are rated only relative to this risk. National ratings
are designed for use mainly by local investors in local markets and
are signified by the addition of an identifier for the country
concerned, such as AAA(ind) for National ratings in
India. Specific letter grades are not therefore internationally
comparable.
Contact:
Amit Banerji, Mumbai, +91 22 4000 1741,
amit.banerji@fitchratings.com, Rakesh Valecha, Mumbai, +91 22 4000
1740, rakesh.valecha@fitchratings.com
Fitch's
rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available
on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings,
criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all
times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of
interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies
and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section
of this site.
***
Fitch
Ratings is one of the three large global credit rating agencies.
Fitch rates over 5,300 banks/financial institutions, including some
1900 insurance companies, more than 2000 corporates and 96 sovereigns
as well as public finance, sub-sovereigns and structured finance
transactions.
Fitch India
has four rating offices located at Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai and
Kolkata. Fitch is recognised by Reserve Bank of India, Securities
Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and National Housing Bank.
***
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